Calendar Arb Examples?
5.6BRAINROT SCORECalendar Arb A trading strategy that exploits pricing discrepancies between prediction markets on the same underlying event but with different resolution dates, profiting from the timing gap rather than the outcome itself.
Origin:Prediction-market trading vocabulary for a specific arbitrage technique, discussed among more quantitatively-minded traders as a way to extract value independent of actually predicting the outcome correctly.
First Seen:2026-07
Peak Era:2026 (Prediction-Market Trading)
Aura Impact:+5 Aura (A Clean Calendar Arb Trade) / -5 Aura (A Calendar Arb That Doesn't Converge in Time)
EXAMPLE USAGE
"Found a calendar arb between the two expiry dates on the same event, small edge but basically risk-free."
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